PloS one
Stage-driven mortality and clinical risk stratification among lung cancer patients in Dhaka, Bangladesh: A multi-hospital secondary analysis
By Das S, Kundu S and Tanny SJ.
Abstract
Introduction
Lung cancer is a major cause of cancer mortality, and patient-level outcome data from Bangladesh remain limited. Locally relevant, interpretable risk-stratification models may help identify patients with higher recorded mortality risk using routinely available clinical variables. This study evaluated mortality-associated factors and the hospital-wise internal-external validation performance of a clinical risk-stratification model among lung cancer patients in Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Methods
We performed a retrospective secondary analysis of a publicly available, de-identified multi-hospital dataset comprising 1,782 patients. The primary endpoint was recorded binary mortality status, defined from the source variable survived (No = mortality event; Yes = no recorded mortality event). Multivariable logistic regression was used for association analysis. A hospital-agnostic logistic prediction model was evaluated using leave-one-hospital-out internal-external validation. Discrimination was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration by Brier score, calibration intercept and slope, and predicted-risk deciles, and potential clinical utility by decision curve analysis.