BJS open
Role of circulating tumour DNA in predicting complete clinical response and local regrowth after total neoadjuvant therapy for rectal cancer: meta-analysis
By Lal N, Shukla S, Hodges N and 2 others.
Abstract
Background
Non-operative management after total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT) has emerged as a potential strategy for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) achieving clinical complete response (cCR). Circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) has been proposed as a systemic biomarker to augment response assessment, but its role in predicting cCR and local regrowth remains uncertain.
Methods
A systematic review and meta-analysis were performed of studies evaluating ctDNA dynamics in patients with LARC undergoing TNT. PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science databases were searched from database inception to 31 March 2026. Primary outcomes were the association between post-TNT ctDNA status and cCR and sustained cCR. Pooled odds ratios (ORs) were calculated using a random-effects model.